Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets AI Prediction (Jan 17) | HappySports AI
Our NBA AI model breaks down Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets with projected lines, win probabilities, and today’s best bets.
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Happy Sports AI Analysis · NBA
Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets
January 17, 2026 · 20:30 · Chase Center · Odds: Pinnacle Sports
Home: Golden State Warriors
Overall: 23-19
Home: 15-6
Road: Charlotte Hornets
Overall: 16-25
Road: 8-14
Line Comparison
Happy Sports AI
Golden State Warriors: 111.9 (-7.9)
U/O: 230.8 (-2.2)
Charlotte Hornets: 117.7 (+4.4)
Pinnacle
Golden State Warriors 119.8
Total 233.0
Charlotte Hornets 113.3
Happy Sports AI Win Probabilities
Moneyline Win Probability
Golden State Warriors (1.41)
Charlotte Hornets (3.08)
Book implied: 68.6% vs 31.4%
Spread -6.5 (Golden State Warriors side)
Golden State Warriors ATS cover (1.98)
Charlotte Hornets ATS cover (1.90)
Book implied: 49.0% vs 51.0%
Total 233.0
Under (1.97)
Over (1.88)
Book implied: 48.8% vs 51.2%
MyBookie NBA Odds · Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets
Live odds from MyBookie. Use these prices to follow the same AI edges shown in today’s Smart Money Report.
Money Line
Golden State Warriors
-263
Reference price (no current edge)
Charlotte Hornets (AI Pick)
+209
AI value side at MyBookie
Point Spread
Golden State Warriors
-110
Line: -6.5 · for comparison
Charlotte Hornets (AI Pick)
-110
Line: +6.5 · AI sees a positive EV margin here
Total
Over 233
-110
Full game total · opposite side
Under 233 (AI Pick)
-110
Full game total · AI prefers this side at this number
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Happy Sports Betting Data
Spread · Season / Last 7
Golden State Warriors
Season 23-19
Last 7 5-2
Charlotte Hornets
Season 23-18
Last 7 5-2
Totals · Season / Last 7
Golden State Warriors
Season U20-O22
Last 7 U4-O3
Charlotte Hornets
Season U24-O17
Last 7 U4-O3
Spread · Home / Road · Last 5
Golden State Warriors (Home)
Overall 13-8
Last 5 4-1
Charlotte Hornets (Road)
Overall 13-9
Last 5 4-1
Totals · Home / Road · Last 5
Golden State Warriors (Home)
Overall U10-O11
Last 5 U2-O3
Charlotte Hornets (Road)
Overall U12-O10
Last 5 U2-O2
Odds from Pinnacle Sports. Probabilities are generated by the Happy Sports AI model using team form and efficiency metrics.
Pinnacle NBA Odds · Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets
For European & Asian residents only. Live odds directly from Pinnacle.
Powered by HappySports AI
Moneyline · AI edge
Charlotte Hornets (AI Pick)
Reference price vs market
3.08
Flagged as value at Pinnacle
Spread · AI edge
Charlotte Hornets +6.5
Line vs AI fair spread
1.90
AI prefers this side at this number
Total · AI edge
Under 233
Total vs AI projected points
1.97
Positive EV based on our model
Use Pinnacle odds that our NBA model is calibrated on for moneyline, spread and totals.
P
Bet these odds at Pinnacle
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Happy Sports AI - Game Prediction Report
Happy Sports AI Analysis · NBA
Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets (Pinnacle Version)
Golden State vs Charlotte is a classic market-respect-for-the-favorite vs data-signaled underdog spot: books make the Warriors solid home favorites, but Happy Sports AI flips the edge to Hornets +6.5 and shows a modest lean to the under 233.0.
Game Context & Matchup
- The Warriors are 23–19 overall and 15–6 at Chase Center, 4–1 in their last five games and 4–1 ATS in that span, reflecting a strong short-term uptick.
- Charlotte is 16–25 (8–14 on the road officially, with some sources listing 6–13/7–?) but 4–1 in its last five road games and 12–8 ATS on the road this season, consistently outperforming spread expectations away from home.
- Recent head-to-head history leans Warriors straight up, but the Hornets have shown ability to hang around (and occasionally pull upsets) against better teams, especially when catching sizable spreads.
Happy Sports AI vs Pinnacle Lines
- Pinnacle: GSW -6.5, total 233.0 (roughly 119.8–113.3 implied score).
- Happy Sports AI: GSW 111.9 vs CHA 117.7 (230.8 total), effectively making Charlotte a small favorite on performance metrics, not Golden State.
- Moneyline: Books imply 68.6% GSW vs 31.4% CHA; Happy Sports AI flips this to 40.7% Warriors vs 59.3% Hornets—a 25–30 percentage-point swing and a clear value signal on the underdog.
- Spread: At -6.5, the model gives Golden State only 30.9% to cover vs 49.0% implied, while Charlotte +6.5 hits 69.1% vs 51.0% implied, marking Hornets +6.5 as a high-conviction ATS edge.
- Total: With a model total of 230.8 vs 233.0, under probability is 54.0% vs 48.8% implied—a mild but real under lean, not as strong as the under spots in Detroit–Indiana or Miami–OKC.
Trends & Totals Profile
- Both teams are 5–2 ATS in their last seven; the Warriors have been covering recently as favorites, while the Hornets have covered frequently as underdogs, particularly on the road.
- Home/road splits show Golden State 13–8 ATS at home and Charlotte 13–9 ATS on the road in the provided sample, with the Hornets’ road ATS record confirming the model’s underdog angle.
- Totals: Warriors are 20–22 to the under (4–3 to the under in last seven), Hornets are 24–17 to the under (also 4–3 to the under in last seven), and both teams’ recent combined scoring averages sit very close to the 230–232 range—slightly below the current number.
Happy Sports AI Best Bets (Pinnacle)
- Primary Side Play: Charlotte Hornets +6.5
- Large model edge vs Pinnacle’s implied ATS probabilities, supported by Hornets’ strong road ATS record and Warriors’ line inflation due to brand and recent win streak.
- Secondary Total Play: Under 233.0
- Model total 230.8 and 54% under probability, plus both teams’ modest tilt toward unders, make this a secondary lean rather than a flagship total.
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