Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks AI Prediction (Jan 15) | HappySports AI

AI Probability Preview — today’s model‑powered signals for mispriced NBA lines and totals.

Happy Sports AI Analysis · NBA

Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks

January 15, 2026 · 22:00 · Chase Center · Odds: Pinnacle Sports

Home: Golden State Warriors

Overall: 22-19

Home: 14-6

Road: New York Knicks

Overall: 25-15

Road: 9-11

Line Comparison

Happy Sports AI

Golden State Warriors: 113.1 (-3.7)

U/O: 218.9 (-7.1)

New York Knicks: 102.9 (-6.4)

Pinnacle

Golden State Warriors 116.8

Total 226.0

New York Knicks 109.3

Happy Sports AI Win Probabilities

Moneyline Win Probability

Golden State Warriors (1.35)

New York Knicks (3.40)

68.0% (-3.6%)

32.0% (+3.6%)

Book implied: 71.6% vs 28.4%

Spread -7.5 (Golden State Warriors side)

Golden State Warriors ATS cover (1.98)

New York Knicks ATS cover (1.91)

54.9% (+5.8%)

45.1% (-5.8%)

Book implied: 49.1% vs 50.9%

Total 226.0

Under (1.93)

Over (1.92)

63.6% (+13.8%)

36.4% (-13.8%)

Book implied: 49.8% vs 50.2%

MyBookie NBA Odds · Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks

Live odds from MyBookie. Use these prices to follow the same AI edges shown in today’s Smart Money Report.

Money Line

New York Knicks

+228

Reference price (no current edge)

Golden State Warriors (AI Pick)

-294

AI value side at MyBookie

Point Spread

New York Knicks

-110

Line: +7.5 · for comparison

Golden State Warriors (AI Pick)

-110

Line: -7.5 · AI sees a positive EV margin here

Total

Over 226½

-110

Full game total · opposite side

Under 226½ (AI Pick)

-110

Full game total · AI prefers this side at this number

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Happy Sports Betting Data

Spread · Season / Last 7

Golden State Warriors

Season 22-19

Last 7 4-3

New York Knicks

Season 18-22

Last 7 2-5

Totals · Season / Last 7

Golden State Warriors

Season U20-O21

Last 7 U5-O2

New York Knicks

Season U17-O23

Last 7 U4-O3

Spread · Home / Road · Last 5

Golden State Warriors (Home)

Overall 12-8

Last 5 3-2

New York Knicks (Road)

Overall 4-16

Last 5 1-4

Totals · Home / Road · Last 5

Golden State Warriors (Home)

Overall U10-O10

Last 5 U3-O2

New York Knicks (Road)

Overall U9-O11

Last 5 U3-O3

Odds from Pinnacle Sports. Probabilities are generated by the Happy Sports AI model using team form and efficiency metrics.

Happy Sports AI - Match Prediction Report

Happy Sports AI sees Golden State as a justified big home favorite here, with a meaningful edge on both the Warriors -7.5 and the under 226.0.​

Matchup context

• The Warriors are 22–19 overall and 14–6 at home, while the Knicks are 25–15 overall but just 9–11 on the road, reflecting a strong team that drops a tier when traveling, especially on this West Coast swing.​
• ATS, Golden State is 22–19 (4–3 last seven), and New York is 18–22 (2–5 last seven), with the Knicks just 4–16 ATS on the road and 1–4 ATS over their last five away games, underlining persistent issues covering numbers as a road team.​

Happy Sports AI vs Pinnacle line

• The model projects a 113.1–102.9 Warriors win (218.9 total), while Pinnacle’s line implies roughly 116.8–109.3 and a 226.0 total, meaning the market expects a slightly tighter game and higher scoring than the model does.​
• Moneyline: at GSW 1.35 vs NYK 3.40, the book implies a 71.6% vs 28.4% split, whereas Happy Sports AI puts it at 68.0% vs 32.0%, suggesting the moneyline is a bit rich on the Warriors but broadly aligned in direction.​
• Spread: at Warriors -7.5, Pinnacle pricing implies roughly 49.1% vs 50.9% cover odds, but Happy boosts GSW’s cover probability to 54.9% and trims New York’s to 45.1%, creating about a 6% edge on the favorite.​
• Total: with a 226.0 line, the book is near 50/50, yet the model’s 218.9 projection yields a 63.6% under probability vs a 49.8% implied figure, indicating a solid under lean.​

Trend profile

• Golden State is 20–21 to the under on the season but 5–2 to the under in its last seven, with an even 10–10 home under record and a 3–2 under tilt across its last five at Chase Center.​
• New York is 17–23 to the under (i.e. 23 overs) on the season and 4–3 to the under in its last seven, but on the road it is 9–11 to the under with a 3–3 split in its last six away games, close to neutral but trending slightly away from the early‑season over profile.​

Betting takeaway

• Side: between the Knicks’ 4–16 ATS road mark, recent road struggles, and Happy’s 54.9% cover projection, Warriors -7.5 shapes up as one of the stronger spread positions on this slate.​
• Total: the under 226.0 is also attractive, with the model and recent form both pointing to a slightly slower, lower‑scoring game than the market is pricing, making a GSW -7.5 + under 226.0 pairing a coherent narrative.

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