AI probability breakdown contrasting true win odds with posted lines to expose actionable opportunities in the major betting markets.
Happy Sports AI Analysis · NBA
Golden State vs Portland
November 21, 2025 · 22:00 · Chase Center · Odds: Pinnacle Sports
Home - Golden State
Overall: 9-8
Home: 5-0
Road - Portland
Overall: 6-9
Road: 3-5
Lines Comparison
Happy Sports AI
Golden State: 121.5 (-0.8)
Portland: 114.2 (-0.6)
Total: 236.7 (-0.3)
Book (Pinnacle)
Golden State: 122.3
Portland: 114.8
Total: 237.0
Happy Sports AI Win Probabilities
Moneyline Win Probability
Golden State (1.33)
71.5% (-1.4%)
Book implied probability: 72.9%
Portland (3.56)
28.5% (+1.4%)
Book implied probability: 27.1%
Spread -7.5 (vs Golden State)
Golden State ATS cover (1.90)
49.2% (-1.8%)
Book implied probability: 51.0%
Portland ATS cover (1.98)
50.8% (+1.8%)
Book implied probability: 49.0%
Total 237.0
Under (1.93)
52.9% (+2.9%)
Book implied probability: 50.0%
Over (1.93)
49.4% (-0.6%)
Book implied probability: 50.0%
Happy Sports Betting Data
Spread (Season / Last 7 Games)
Golden State
Season: 9-8
Last 7 games: 4-3
Portland
Season: 8-7
Last 7 games: 2-5
Totals (Season / Last 7 Games)
Golden State
Season: U8-O9
Last 7 games: U4-O3
Portland
Season: U4-O11
Last 7 games: U2-O5
Spread (Home / Road · Last 5 Games)
Golden State (Home)
Home overall: 5-0
Last 5 home games: 5-0
Portland (Road)
Road overall: 4-4
Last 5 road games: 1-4
Totals (Home / Road · Last 5 Games)
Golden State (Home)
Home overall: U3-O2
Last 5 home games: U3-O2
Portland (Road)
Road overall: U2-O6
Last 5 road games: U1-O4
Odds from Pinnacle Sports. Probabilities are generated by the Happy Sports AI model using recent form and efficiency metrics.
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