Utah Jazz vs Charlotte Hornets AI Prediction (Jan 10) | HappySports AI
Our NBA AI model breaks down Utah Jazz vs Charlotte Hornets with projected lines, win probabilities, and today’s best bets.
AI Probability Preview — today’s model‑powered signals for mispriced NBA lines and totals.
MyBookie NBA Odds · Utah Jazz vs Charlotte Hornets
Odds from Pinnacle Sports. Probabilities are generated by the Happy Sports AI model using team form and efficiency metrics.
Happy Sports AI - Match Prediction Report
Utah hosts Charlotte in a matchup heavily influenced by injuries and recent form, with the Jazz missing star forward Lauri Markkanen (27.9 points, 7.0 rebounds, 2.2 assists per game, out for rest) and potentially without Jusuf Nurkic (10.4 points, 9.8 rebounds, 4.4 assists, 50% chance to sit after missing the last game), while Charlotte arrives with no short‑term injuries beyond their long‑term absences. Utah just snapped a five‑game losing streak by beating Dallas, whereas Charlotte has dropped two straight after winning two in a row, and the teams' last meeting on November 3 saw Charlotte dominate 126–103 on their home court.
Moneyline view
- The market prices Utah at 2.57 and Charlotte at 1.56, implying roughly 37.7% win probability for the Jazz and 62.3% for the Hornets, reflecting Utah's significant talent loss with Markkanen out and Charlotte's healthier rotation.
- HappySports AI sees this matchup even more one‑sided at 25.2% for Utah and 74.8% for Charlotte, leaving about –12.5% on the Jazz side and +12.5% relative value on the Hornets, meaning the model believes Charlotte is underpriced as a road favorite given Utah's depleted state.
Spread view
- The main spread is set at Charlotte –4.5 with odds of 1.934 on the Hornets and 1.95 on the Jazz, creating a near‑balanced market cover probability (50.2% Charlotte / 49.8% Utah).
- AI cover probabilities tilt heavily toward Charlotte at 67.1% and Utah at just 32.9%, meaning the model sees significant –16.8% edge on laying the points with the Hornets rather than grabbing them with the home underdog in this spot.
Total view
- The total sits at 237.5, a relatively high number that assumes both teams will play at a brisk pace and push offensive efficiency despite Utah's rotation issues.
- HappySports AI projects a lower combined score around 230.6, translating to 64.8% on the under and 35.2% on the over, so the current total offers a meaningful +15.5% lean toward the under if Markkanen's absence and Nurkic's potential absence significantly slow Utah's scoring output.
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