A surprising look at how handicap records often differ from actual win–loss standings.

Tomorrow is the first day this season with no NBA games, so here is a special data-center release from HappySports AI — a full league-wide handicap performance ranking (ATS: Against The Spread).

This table shows how many teams significantly overperform or underperform their actual season record when it comes to covering the spread.

🔥 NBA ATS Rankings (Overall)

Color Guide
🔴 “+X wins”: ATS wins exceed actual season wins (overperforming the market)
🔵 “–X wins”: ATS wins lower than actual wins (underperforming the market)

1) Phoenix Suns — 12–6 ATS

• Home 9–2 / Road 3–4
• Season Record: 11–7
• ATS difference: +1 win (🔴)

2) Miami Heat — 12–6 ATS

• Home 3–2 / Road 9–4
• Season Record: 12–6
• ATS difference: 0

3) Detroit Pistons — 12–5 ATS

• Home 7–2 / Road 5–3
• Season Record: 15–2
• ATS difference: –3 wins (🔵)

4) Denver Nuggets — 11–6 ATS

• Home 3–2 / Road 8–4
• Season Record: 13–4
• ATS difference: –2 wins (🔵)

5) LA Lakers — 11–6 ATS

• Home 4–2 / Road 7–4
• Season Record: 13–4
• ATS difference: –2 wins (🔵)

6) Oklahoma City Thunder — 11–7 ATS

• Home 5–3 / Road 6–4
• Season Record: 17–1
• ATS difference: –6 wins (🔵)

7) Brooklyn Nets — 10–7 ATS

• Home 4–4 / Road 6–3
• Season Record: 3–14
• ATS difference: +7 wins (🔴)

8) Houston Rockets — 10–5 ATS

• Home 3–4 / Road 7–1
• Season Record: 11–4
• ATS difference: –1 win (🔵)

9) Portland Trail Blazers — 10–8 ATS

• Home 4–3 / Road 6–5
• Season Record: 8–10
• ATS difference: +2 wins (🔴)

10) Orlando Magic — 10–9 ATS

• Home 6–5 / Road 4–4
• Season Record: 10–9
• ATS difference: 0

11) Golden State Warriors — 10–9 ATS

• Home 6–1 / Road 4–8
• Season Record: 10–9
• ATS difference: 0

12) San Antonio Spurs — 10–6 ATS

• Home 6–4 / Road 4–2
• Season Record: 11–5
• ATS difference: –1 win (🔵)

13) Toronto Raptors — 10–8 ATS

• Home 4–4 / Road 6–4
• Season Record: 13–5
• ATS difference: –3 wins (🔵)

14) Boston Celtics — 9–8 ATS

• Home 4–5 / Road 5–3
• Season Record: 9–8
• ATS difference: 0

15) Atlanta Hawks — 9–10 ATS

• Home 2–5 / Road 7–5
• Season Record: 11–8
• ATS difference: –2 wins (🔵)

16) Utah Jazz — 9–8 ATS

• Home 7–2 / Road 2–6
• Season Record: 5–12
• ATS difference: +4 wins (🔴)

17) Indiana Pacers — 8–9 ATS

• Home 5–3 / Road 3–6
• Season Record: 2–15
• ATS difference: +6 wins (🔴)

18) New Orleans Pelicans — 8–10 ATS

• Home 4–6 / Road 4–4
• Season Record: 3–15
• ATS difference: +5 wins (🔴)

19) Charlotte Hornets — 8–9 ATS

• Home 4–4 / Road 4–5
• Season Record: 4–13
• ATS difference: +4 wins (🔴)

20) Dallas Mavericks — 8–11 ATS

• Home 5–8 / Road 3–3
• Season Record: 5–14
• ATS difference: +3 wins (🔴)

21) Sacramento Kings — 8–10 ATS

• Home 2–6 / Road 6–4
• Season Record: 5–13
• ATS difference: +3 wins (🔴)

22) Chicago Bulls — 8–9 ATS

• Home 5–3 / Road 3–6
• Season Record: 9–8
• ATS difference: –1 win (🔵)

23) New York Knicks — 8–8 ATS

• Home 8–1 / Road 0–7
• Season Record: 10–6
• ATS difference: –2 wins (🔵)

24) Memphis Grizzlies — 7–11 ATS

• Home 3–5 / Road 4–6
• Season Record: 10–8
• ATS difference: –3 wins (🔵)

25) Minnesota Timberwolves — 7–10 ATS

• Home 3–5 / Road 4–5
• Season Record: 10–7
• ATS difference: –3 wins (🔵)

26) Cleveland Cavaliers — 7–12 ATS

• Home 4–7 / Road 3–9
• Season Record: 12–7
• ATS difference: –5 wins (🔵)
  → Largest negative gap in the league

27) Milwaukee Bucks — 7–11 ATS

• Home 1–4 / Road 6–7
• Season Record: 8–10
• ATS difference: –1 win (🔵)

28) Philadelphia 76ers — 7–10 ATS

• Home 3–6 / Road 4–5
• Season Record: 9–8
• ATS difference: –2 wins (🔵)

29) Washington Wizards — 5–12 ATS

• Home 1–6 / Road 4–6
• Season Record: 2–15
• ATS difference: +3 wins (🔴)

30) LA Clippers — 5–13 ATS

• Home 0–5 / Road 5–8
• Season Record: 5–13
• ATS difference: 0

📌 Key Takeaways

• The best teams aren’t always the best ATS teams.
  → OKC: 19–1 overall, but only 11–7 ATS (–6 wins)
• Some bottom-tier teams consistently beat the spread.
  → Brooklyn is 3–14 overall but 10–7 ATS (+7 wins)
• Cleveland has the league’s worst ATS gap: –5 wins

Handicap markets reward market mispricing, not raw power.
Use HappySports AI win probabilities and matchup data to make smarter decisions —
blind following never wins.

🔎 Powered by Happy Sports AI

AI-driven basketball predictions and win probabilities for NBA & KBL games. We compare bookmaker odds with our proprietary AI lines to identify value on moneyline, spread, and totals across every daily slate.

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute betting advice.

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